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Question

India play two matches each with West Indies and Australia .In any match the probabilities of India getting points 0, 1 and 2 are 0.45, 0.05 and 0.50 respectively. Assuming that the outcomes are independent, the probability of India getting at least 7 points is

  1. 0.8750    
  2. 0.0875    
  3. 0.0625    
  4. 0.0250    

The correct answer is: 0.0875


    Probability of getting at least seven points = Probability of getting 7 points or 8 points = probability of getting 7 points + probability of getting 8 points.
    Seven points in four matches can be obtained in the following four different ways:
    (2, 2, 2, 1) ; (2, 2, 1, 2); (2, 1, 2, 2); (1, 2, 2, 2)
    Hence probability of getting 7 points = 4. (0.50)3 (0.05) = 0.0250
    Eight points in four matches can be obtained only in one way i.e. 2, 2, 2, 2, Hence probability of getting 8 points = (0.50)4 = 0.0625
    Thus the required probability = 0.0250 + 0.0625 = 0.0875.

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